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Updated: 8:00 PM EDT, Nov 1, 2024
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The Short-Term Downtrend Continues To Point Lower
April 30, 2022
The short-term downtrend continues to point lower. The PMO index is at the low of its range. With the PMO at the lows, I usually would cover any shorts, but this market is so weak that I'm concerned it...
Via
Talk Markets
The View From Here
April 22, 2022
All assets are in a free-fall, and free-fall is this bear's favorite of the four seasons.
Via
Talk Markets
Market Recap - Saturday, April 16
April 16, 2022
The U.S. will likely avoid a recession this year, but the picture may change in 2023.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Global Equity Funds Report $7.5 Billion in Outflows, Largest Weekly Outflow on Record
April 15, 2022
During week ended April 13, 2022, investors were overall net redeemers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the second straight week, withdrawing a net $46.2 billion from the...
Via
Talk Markets
Will the Market Pick a Direction On Monday?
April 14, 2022
When the indices are tough to read, it can help to watch other symbols like JNK and VXX.
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds Need Help
March 14, 2022
It’s Fed week which should redirect some of the market chatter from Russia/Ukraine.
Via
Talk Markets
The Boat Has Not Sailed
March 04, 2022
Via
Talk Markets
Rare To See Stocks Down and Junk Bonds Out-Performing Treasuries
April 11, 2022
Junk bonds are at an important intersection after closing last week at the lowest price of the year.
Via
Talk Markets
A New Short-Term Downtrend Was Established
April 09, 2022
Last weekend, I thought a new short-term downtrend was close to starting. Yet, on Monday, the market looked ready to rally again. However, the selling perked up, the market started to break down, and a...
Via
Talk Markets
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - Monday, April 4
April 04, 2022
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index ticked slightly higher in March to an annualized 5.8% pace, fractionally above last month’s estimate.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Sector-Energy ETFs Post Second-Highest Weekly Outflows on Record
April 01, 2022
Investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the second straight week, adding a net $31.5 billion to the market.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Take A Pause On Their 10-Year Treasury Notes Bearish Bets
March 27, 2022
Highlighting the latest COT bonds data is the pullback in the 10-Year Bond bearish bets this week. The speculative position in the 10-Year Bond has risen for two straight weeks.
Via
Talk Markets
The Bulls Demand The Fed Surrender
March 27, 2022
The Fed is the lion in the central bank jungle, and the bulls demand the Fed surrender to their demands. Once again prices are near important levels and the Fed has never allowed the market to be...
Via
Talk Markets
Look For Indications Of The Next Short-Term Downtrend
March 26, 2022
Rising prices are good news, but with the PMO at this level, the best low-risk, short-term period for stock purchases has passed. It is now time to consider taking partial profits and to look for...
Via
Talk Markets
ETF Focus: Interest-Sensitive
March 26, 2022
The stock market from Jan. 4 through early Feb. 24 was like an action movie. The market from late Feb. 24 through March 25 was like watching the end credits roll. Perhaps we’ll see another change...
Via
Talk Markets
FundFlows Insight Report: Despite Rise in Interest Rates, Investors Inject Net New Money into Fixed Income ETFs
March 24, 2022
Fund investors were net purchasers of equity funds (+$11.3 billion) and taxable bond funds (+$2.3 billion) while being net redeemers of money market funds (-$2.9 billion) and tax-exempt fixed-income...
Via
Talk Markets
Risk-On Sentiment Resumed For Most Markets Last Week
March 21, 2022
Most markets around the world staged a strong rebound last week, led by stocks in foreign developed markets ex-US.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Continue To Raise Eurodollar Bearish Bets To 170-Week High
March 20, 2022
Highlighting the COT bonds data is the steady rise in the Eurodollar bearish bets. Eurodollar futures speculator bets fell for a second consecutive week and for the fourth time in the past five weeks.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows Insight Report: Mutual Funds Suffer $14.7 Billion in Outflows as ETFs Attract $5.7 Billion
March 18, 2022
During the fund-flows week ended March 16, 2022, investors were overall net redeemers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the second straight week, removing a net of $28.1...
Via
Talk Markets
US Bond Market Under Pressure As Fed Raises Interest Rates
March 17, 2022
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised its target interest rate by ¼ point, the first hike since 2018.
Via
Talk Markets
With FOMC On Tap Today Gold Stocks Dip For Buy Point
March 16, 2022
Over the past few trading sessions, we have seen a dip in oil and many commodities off of their highs.
Via
Talk Markets
Reaching The Breaking Point in the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ)
March 14, 2022
With a tough trading week ahead, if the QQQ is going to break down further, watch for other indices to follow and break their key support levels as confirmation.
Via
Talk Markets
A New Short-Term Downtrend Started After A Brief Uptrend
March 12, 2022
A short-term downtrend started on March 7 after a brief uptrend that began on Feb. 24. The short-term trends are getting shorter, and they are not reaching the top and bottom of the PMO range before...
Via
Talk Markets
Are U.S Treasury Bonds (TLT) a Lagging Safety Play?
March 07, 2022
Currently, the 20+ Year Treasury bond ETF is beginning to trend upwards, however, it has a lot of overhead resistance from the 50-Day moving average at $141.23, and the 200-Week MA at $140.91.
Via
Talk Markets
Will Oil’s Spike Cause A Recession And Bear Market?
March 05, 2022
Learning from past supply disruptions. Also: Are bull/bear charts starting to roll over in the bear's favor?
Via
Talk Markets
How These 3 Symbols Can Guide Us Through The Trading Week
March 03, 2022
Geopolitical stress from the Russia/Ukraine situation piles onto the market and the Fed which is now faced not only with worries of the U.S inflation numbers but extra price surges in energy.
Via
Talk Markets
Uncertainty About The Short-Term Trend
February 26, 2022
For the second time in several weeks, I have to mark my sentiment for the short-term trend as
Via
Talk Markets
Bond Market Jitters: Financial Crisis Becoming A Possibility?
February 25, 2022
The financial system is interconnected. If one asset class faces headwinds, others will feel some sort of a ripple effect.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Push Their Surging Bearish Bets In Eurodollars To 166-Week High
February 20, 2022
Highlighting the COT bonds data is the continued rise in the Eurodollar bearish bets. The speculative position in the Eurodollar futures has been dropping sharply with higher bearish bets since...
Via
Talk Markets
Market Recap - Sunday, Feb. 20
February 20, 2022
My Market Recap is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically. I rely on charts to do the heavy lifting and I keep my commentary to a minimum. Let's see what happened in...
Via
Talk Markets
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