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Updated: 4:15 PM EDT, Jul 17, 2024
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Dollar Eases, Stocks And Bonds Advance
August 22, 2023
For the first time in more than a week, North American dealers will take to their posts with the dollar softer against all the G10 and most of the emerging market currencies.
Via
Talk Markets
Treasury Yields Soar To 16 Year High As 30Y Mortgage Rates Near 21st Century High
August 21, 2023
The selloff in the bond market resumed with a vengeance on Monday.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Have U.S. Bond Yields Began A New Long-Term Trend Higher?
August 21, 2023
Rising interest rates are beginning to spook investors. And rightfully so.
Via
Talk Markets
Market Volatility Amid Fed's Continued Tightening, Yet Lucrative Prospects Await
August 21, 2023
August has ushered in market turbulence, with important indices poised for another week of losses, veering into negative territory for the month.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Can USDJPY Gains Continue On Rising US Treasuries?
August 21, 2023
The rise in US Treasuries on thoughts the Fed may need to be more restrictive on rates has been nudging the USDJPY pair higher over August.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Bill Gross Is Bearish On Both Stocks And Bonds
August 18, 2023
Longtime
Via
Talk Markets
SPX Futures Decline
August 18, 2023
SPX futures declined to a morning low of 4345.70 and are hovering near their lows. The nearest known support is the Minor Wave 4 low at 4335.00.
Via
Talk Markets
A Bond Bear Market Made In America
August 17, 2023
Confidence may be down, but the US economy continues to spend and make things practically as normal.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
The Mythical Recession, Business Cycle, And The Markets
August 17, 2023
A discussion about why Wall Street missed the turning point.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Weekly Market Pulse: Is The Correction Over?
August 21, 2023
Put/call ratios have risen with the equity only ratio rising above 1 last week, a level usually associated with the bottom of corrections.
Via
Talk Markets
Challenges Of A Different Sort
August 20, 2023
Investors are currently facing a challenge of a different sort with increasing, not decreasing, bond yields.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Yields Roar To New Highs
August 19, 2023
US yields pushed to their cycle highs during the past week, with 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes breaching prior support levels at 5% and 4.25%, respectively.
Via
Talk Markets
How Far Could Stocks Fall?
August 18, 2023
Rising interest rates and concerns about Fed policy contributed to another week of declines in the stock market.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Importance Of 10 (And 20) Year New Highs In Interest Rates
August 18, 2023
Almost always in the past, interest rates peaked before the Fed finished hiking interest rates. This suggests that the Fed is likely to make at least one more rate hike.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Have Bonds Finally Reached Escape Velocity?
August 15, 2023
Higher bond yields create a sort of escape velocity at some point where the interest payments offset the interest rate risk.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
US Stocks Pressured Amid Rate Hike Concerns And China Credit Risks
August 18, 2023
Dow Jones is little changed while extending losses for the fourth session in the overnight session.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Drumbeat Of Inflation
August 18, 2023
The recession-is-coming narrative is dead and the inflation-is-over narrative is dominant, making the Fed’s job that much harder and making resurgent inflation that much more likely.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
A Resilient US Labor Market Proved To Be A Headwind For Stock Indices
August 18, 2023
A strong labor market coupled with hawkish FOMC minutes gives the Federal Reserve more room to keep rates higher.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Dollar Bulls Still In Control
August 18, 2023
What may have been hoped to be a quiet August has turned into a feeding frenzy for dollar bulls as the contrasting economic performance has spurred persistent buying of the greenback.
Via
Talk Markets
Markets Calmer As PBOC Papers Over Cracks
August 17, 2023
The slight positive tone in markets was perhaps triggered by China ramping up its efforts to stem losses in the yuan.
Via
Talk Markets
US Recession Risk For Q3 Continues To Fade
August 17, 2023
It’s been clear for some time that US recession risk has been sliding in recent months, but this week’s updates of a widely followed GDP nowcast has been revised up, a lot, for the third quarter.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
US Inflation: Fiscal Policy Incompatible With Monetary Policy
August 17, 2023
The US economy showed unexpected resilience in the final quarter, and the record activity is undoubtedly behind the upturn in inflation in the country.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
AI Stocks Bubble Popping Or Buy The Dip?
August 16, 2023
A break down of the trade action in today's sell side activity, and a closer look at AI stocks.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Exposures
Artificial Intelligence
Larry Summers Predicts 10-Year Yields Will Hit 4.75% Or Higher In Next Decade As Economy Shifts To 'New Era'
August 16, 2023
Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says rising government deficits and increasing inflation will factor into a 4.75% or higher yield on 10-year Treasuries in the decade ahead.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
Has Treasury Market Misjudged Timing For Peak Rates… Again?
August 16, 2023
For much of the year, the bond market has been embracing expectations that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases have peaked, or were about to peak.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
Your Mid-August Market Update: Selling And Scanning
August 15, 2023
Stock indexes slid 1% today with bonds closing weaker, down at 2023 lows as interest rates traded up to highs in 2023.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Gold The Big Five Come Alive
August 15, 2023
Five major fundamental and technical events need to occur for a major buy alert for gold and silver stocks.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: A Positive Feedback Loop?
August 14, 2023
If real interest rates reflect investment demand in the real economy – and that’s pretty standard theory – then rising real rates is obviously a positive sign for the future.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Greenback Remains Firm, With Yen And Aussie Falling To New 2023 Lows
August 14, 2023
The dollar and US rates remain firm. The greenback rose to new highs for the year against the Japanese yen and Australian dollar before steadying.
Via
Talk Markets
CoT: Peeking Into Future Through Futures, Hedge Funds Positioning
August 13, 2023
Equity bears who were zealously shorting at/near the low from last October contributed massively to the rally that followed. Between that low (3492) and the high of July 27 (4607), the S&P 500 shot up...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
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