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7 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of Oct. 3
October 02, 2022
Stocks fell sharply on Friday, with the S&P 500 down 1.5% on the day and 2.9% for the week. It left the S&P 500 trading at a new 52-week low of 3,585. Yes, the RSI is back below 30, but the technicals...
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Is A Waterfall Stock Decline Imminent?
October 01, 2022
Is it possible for the stock market to make a stand near levels of support, or is a waterfall plunge more likely? What can we learn from the charts?
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Fair Is Fair, And TIPS Are There (Almost)
September 30, 2022
At the current level, with TIPS at fair or slightly-cheap relative value and approaching fair absolute value, it is worth accumulating TIPS as a long-term hold.
Via
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TIPS - A Misunderstood Inflation Hedge
September 28, 2022
TIPS have historically been a good inflation hedge over a medium to longer-term investment horizon.
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10 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of Sept. 26
September 25, 2022
It will be an action-packed week, that’s for sure. There will be plenty of data, including new home sales, pending sales, PCE, and the University of Michigan. On top of that, there will be a slew of...
Via
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Clean Sweep Of Losses For Major Asset Classes Last Week
September 19, 2022
Bearish expectations for growth, interest rates and inflation took another toll on markets around the world last week, based on a set of proxy ETFs representing the primary asset classes as of Friday’s...
Via
Talk Markets
7 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of Sept. 19
September 18, 2022
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq finished the week lower by around 5 and 6%, respectively. It is tough to find many bright spots in this market, especially with what is taking place in real rates.
Via
Talk Markets
Desperately Seeking Yield - Friday, Sept. 16
September 16, 2022
The dark side of rising interest rates is conspicuous near and far, but there’s also a bright side: higher yields, which are a byproduct of risk assets that take a beating in price, which in turn lifts...
Via
Talk Markets
Monitoring Investment Trends With ETF Pairs - Thursday, Sept. 15
September 15, 2022
The risk-off sentiment is back, or so recent market activity suggests. Maybe risk-off never left. There are many ways to assess this state of affairs.
Via
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Market Briefing For Tuesday, Sept. 13, 2022
September 13, 2022
Assessing various implications- of our anticipated reflections of slowing inflation in the upcoming CPI is only somewhat a matter of speculation.
Via
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Majority Of Major Asset Classes Recovered Last Week
September 12, 2022
Most risk assets bounced in the trading week through Friday’s close (Sep. 9), based on a set of proxy ETFs that collectively represent the primary asset classes. Confidence that the bounce has legs is...
Via
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5 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of Sept. 12
September 11, 2022
This week will be interesting, with inflation data Tuesday and Wednesday. There will be a lot of Treasury auctions this week, which will move yields and stocks. The one wrinkle is that the VIX options...
Via
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Market Briefing For Friday, Sept. 9
September 09, 2022
The Fed is tightening and inflation is percolating; but that will show change in next week's CPI (at least I'm thinking that); and maybe you get a huge blowoff rally after that?
Via
Talk Markets
“The Final Countdown” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…
September 08, 2022
As I have been saying since before Jackson Hole, the most important data point for 2022 will come on September 13 when CPI data is released.
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September Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes
September 06, 2022
As financial markets sink, the relative allure of expected returns rises.
Via
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Major Asset Classes August 2022 Performance Review
September 05, 2022
The summer’s over and it looks like the summer rally is history, too.
Via
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Market Turns Lower On Fed Comments
August 29, 2022
It is clear the Fed views inflation as a continuing issue and Friday's market reaction was in response to an expectation of further interest rate increases ahead.
Via
Talk Markets
Commodities Rose During Last Week’s Mostly Risk-Off Trading
August 29, 2022
A broad measure of commodities sidestepped the widespread losses found elsewhere for most of the major asset classes during the trading week through Friday, Aug. 26, based on a set of ETFs.
Via
Talk Markets
Monitoring Investment Trends With ETF Pairs - Tuesday, Aug. 23
August 23, 2022
Markets are still struggling to price in a variety of risk factors.
Via
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The Major Asset Classes Lost Ground Last Week
August 22, 2022
A clean sweep of red ink washed over all the major asset classes for the trading week through Friday, Aug. 19, based on a set of ETFs.
Via
Talk Markets
Exploding Interest Rates May Finally Suck Stocks Lower
August 11, 2022
Stocks moved lower today, despite moving sharply higher to start.
Via
Talk Markets
US Stocks Led Markets Last Week As Commodities Tanked
August 08, 2022
American shares rose for a third straight week in trading through Friday’s close (Aug. 5), posting the leading performance for the major asset classes, based on a set of ETFs.
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation Breakeven And Term Spreads Adjusted For Premia
August 06, 2022
The standard 10yr-3mo spread does not necessarily equal the difference between 3 month yields over the next 10 years vs the current 3 month yield.
Via
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Ism Brings Market Back To Reality After Exuberant Week. What's Next?
August 01, 2022
Today's ISM Manufacturing numbers were a clear reflection of what many are assuming about the economy.
Via
Talk Markets
Major Asset Classes July 2022 Performance Review
August 01, 2022
The majority of the major asset classes rebounded in July, providing relief from an extended run of red ink, based on a set of proxy ETFs.
Via
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8 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of Aug. 1
July 31, 2022
Stocks rose sharply again on Friday. The rally probably isn’t over yet, especially since we have seen a significant inflow of liquidity in the last two weeks. Until we see some financial condition...
Via
Talk Markets
Is There A Case For A Return Of Disinflation/Deflation?
July 26, 2022
It’s all about high inflation at the moment. The Federal Reserve is certainly focused on inflation risk and is set to raise interest rates again in tomorrow’s policy announcement.
Via
Talk Markets
Across-The-Board Rebounds For Major Asset Classes Last Week
July 25, 2022
For one week, global markets delivered something other than gloom via a uniform rise in prices for the major asset classes over the trading week through Friday, July 22.
Via
Talk Markets
7 Monster Stock Market Predictions For The Week Of July 24
July 24, 2022
It will be a hectic week for stocks, with an FOMC meeting and all of the mega-cap stocks reporting results. The market seems overly complacent at this point, with the VIX index trading at 23 and the...
Via
Talk Markets
US Bonds Rallied Last Week, Offering Ballast Vs. Losses Elsewhere
July 18, 2022
Fixed-income markets in the US reverted to their traditional role of delivering upside support when the rest of the portfolio tanks however it’s too soon to say if this is a return to form for bonds...
Via
Talk Markets
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