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The Markets Are Looking For Stability… And They'll Probably Find It
November 19, 2024
Interest rates seem to have found a temporary top, which could signal a breakdown in crude oil prices is around the corner.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Buyers Defend 20-Day MAs In Russell 2000, S&P And Nasdaq
November 19, 2024
After days of selling triggered by escalating events in Ukraine there was at least a modicum of relief for markets as buyers stepped in at 20-day MAs across lead indices.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Stocks Are Catching Their Breath… But Mania Looms Out There
November 12, 2024
Stocks and Bitcoin have both exploded to new all-time highs being the big headline.
Via
Talk Markets
Trump Triumph
November 07, 2024
After indices ailed at resistance for so long traders made the decisive move, buying stocks with glee on Trump's victory.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Government
Exposures
Political
The Fed Rate Cutting Cycle Has Already Been Priced Into The Market
August 25, 2024
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Stocks Are Seeking Higher Lows Ahead Of The Election
November 05, 2024
Bonds are trying to find a floor and crude oil looks vulnerable, despite a selloff in dollars over the past couple of days.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
No Matter Who Wins The Election, Expect The Cost Of Microchips To Soar
November 04, 2024
The cost of everything with a microchip will soon increase. Outright war is a possibility. Let’s discuss why.
Via
Talk Markets
Nasdaq Breadth Metrics Accelerate Losses
November 04, 2024
The Nasdaq had looked primed for a breakout but there was a trend breakdown last week. The index has returned to its base with a break in its 20-day MA; the 50-day MA is its next port of call.
Via
Talk Markets
Late Sell Offs Leave A Nasty Taste In The Mouth
October 30, 2024
Markets started brightly but that was it, heading into the final hour of trading it turned into a bit of a freefall.
Via
Talk Markets
Devil's Advocate - The Bearish Case For The Nasdaq
October 24, 2024
While indices are pushing towards new all-time highs there's a case where a larger decline could emerge despite recent benign losses.
Via
Talk Markets
As Go The Semis, So Go The Markets
October 17, 2024
The magnitude of the broader indexes’ moves was of course far less than that of SOX, but the directions are the same.
Via
Talk Markets
Guidance, Not Current EPS, Is the Key This Season
October 16, 2024
The focus on guidance is completely rational because equity markets are forward looking.
Via
Talk Markets
Canary In The Coal Mine – What’s Up With Semis?
October 16, 2024
The stock market encountered its first real shot across the bow on Tuesday when international semiconductor stock, ASML, surprised with a revenue warning during trading hours.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Coal
Nvidia and Intel Competition Threaten AMD's Growth, Analyst Says
October 15, 2024
Oppenheimer analyst maintains Perform rating on AMD, citing concerns about competitive position against Nvidia and Intel, and challenges from Arm.
Via
Benzinga
Index Charts Of Note
October 13, 2024
On the heels of a week slathered with lifetime highs, let’s review some important index charts.
Via
Talk Markets
Market Briefing For - Friday, Sept 27
September 27, 2024
A 'restrained' advance - is fine; given expectations of running big-cap shorts in more, before any serious shakeout (barring exogenous events) threatens the S&P.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Stock Market Has Stalled As Earnings Estimates Fall
September 23, 2024
This morning, I reviewed earnings for various companies and will use the underwhelming session to highlight why earnings and fundamentals matter despite some believing they don’t.
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Hit New All-Time Highs Ahead Of Rate Cuts
September 17, 2024
The Dow finally has company - the much broader S&P 500 has joined it at the all-time high party. If you sense something missing from this picture, you’re not wrong.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Four Day Rallies Reach Peak; Market Reversals Next?
September 16, 2024
After blasting through 20-day and 50-day moving averages with little fanfare, the S&P, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all finished with topping doji, opening up the possibility for gaps down tomorrow and...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Weekly Commentary: Validating the Bubble Thesis: Q2 2024 Z.1
September 15, 2024
Before our deep dive into data from the Fed’s Q2 Z.1 “flow of funds” report, I wanted to provide some color on the extraordinarily unstable market environment.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Slowdown Ahead - How Much Will They Cut?
September 08, 2024
Given the non-farm payroll revisions in the past few months (almost 1,000,000 less jobs created) and the monthly job number misses, it is no surprise that portfolio managers are beginning to prepare...
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Commentary: 'D' for Dis-Equipoise
September 08, 2024
It’s a fluid, complex and extraordinary environment, just as we should expect at such a critical juncture for history’s greatest bubble(s). Let's lift some of the fog...
Via
Talk Markets
Was It Just A Bounce From The August Mini-Crash?
September 06, 2024
Two things we know. September is the worst month of the year from a seasonal perspective. And September to mid-October is seasonally weak in election years.
Via
Talk Markets
Dow Jones 'Bull Trap' Expands Into Test Of 20-Day MA
September 05, 2024
The index that had managed to break to new highs last week, the Dow Industrial Average, now finds itself pulling further away from its
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
"Bull Trap" After Just One Day
September 03, 2024
So much for the bullish outlook as bears made their presence felt. The biggest loss was in the Semiconductor Index as it lost nearly 8% to close just above its 200-day MA.
Via
Talk Markets
September Is Showing Us Just How Rough It Can Be
September 03, 2024
Today we got a taste of that as markets re-price the impact of the Fed rate cuts due to kick in in a few weeks. A strong barrage of selling hit stocks - flattening marquee growth and tech names,...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Nvidia Q2 Earnings, Guidance Top Street View As AI Fuels Record Data Center Revenue: Gross Margin Falls Quarter-Over-Quarter, Stock Drops
August 28, 2024
Nvidia's earnings are seen as a barometer of artificial intelligence spending.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Exposures
Artificial Intelligence
Will Nvidia Continue To Deliver? Investors Sweat Over Hyped-up Expectations And Potential Blackwell Delay Ahead Of Q2 Report
August 28, 2024
Chipmaker and artificial intelligence stalwart Nvidia Corp. is all set to announce its quarterly results Wednesday after the market close. Analysts are upbeat about the company scaling lofty goals and...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Exposures
Artificial Intelligence
Nvidia’s Earnings Loom In The Summer Stock Snooze-Fest
August 27, 2024
To the casual observer, stocks look to be drifting around on a Lazy River ride, but the truth is, they’re consolidating their recent gains. This is actually bullish price action.
Via
Talk Markets
Inside Day For Tech
August 23, 2024
Powell has gone FULL PIVOT, the fact that tech stocks couldn’t even muster anything more than an inside day kind of tells you everything you need to know.
Via
Talk Markets
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